Peer-Reviewed Articles

Signaling, Resolve, and Reputation in International Politics

Donald Casler The Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology (3rd ed) 2023

The Many Faces of Credibility: Hawks, Doves, and Nuclear Disarmament

Donald Casler and David RibarSecurity Studies 2023

Democratic Reputations in Crises and Wars

Jonathan Renshon & Joshua Kertzer Journal of Politics 2023

Democratic Peace and Covert Military Force: An Experimental Test

Allison Carnegie and Josh KertzerJournal of Conflict Resolution 2022

How Do Observers Assess Resolve?

with Joshua Kertzer and Jonathan RenshonBritish Journal of Political Science 2019

Public Opinion and Decisions about Military Force in Democracies

with Mike Tomz and Jesssica WeekInternational Organization 2019

How Do Observers Assess Resolve?

Joshua Kertzer and Jonathan RenshonBritish Journal of Political Science 2019

Tying Hands, Sinking Costs, and Leader Attributes

with Josh Kertzer and Jonathan RenshonJournal of Conflict Resolution 2018

Arms, Alliances, and Patron-Client Relationships

with Alex Lanoszka and Zack CooperInternational Security 2016


Credibility and Reputation Revisited, A review article on Frank Harvey and John Mitton's "Fighting for Credibility: U.S. Reputation and International Politics

H-Diplo Roundtable Review

Revisiting Intelligence Success and Failure. A review article on Iri Bar Joseph and Rose McDermott's "Intelligence Success and Failure"

H-Diplo Roundtable Review

The H-ISSF roundtable on Martin Holmes "Face-to-Face Diplomacy: Social Neuroscience and International Relations."

H-ISSF Roundtable Review 2019

Book Review, Raymond Garthoff, "Soviet Leaders and Intelligence" (Georgetown University Press, 2015).

Journal of Politics 2016

Critical Review Essay, "Symposium on Process Tracing in Security Studies"

ISSF Forum/H-Diplo 2016

Response Essay, Roundtable on "Knowing the Adversary."

H-Diplo 2015

Intelligence-Policy Relations in Historical Perspective, A review article on Joshua Rovner's "Fixing the Facts."

H-Diplo Roundtable Review 2012

"Intent from an International Politics Perspective: Decision-Makers, Intelligence Communities, and Assessment of the Adversary's Intentions" in "From the Mind to the Feet: Assessing the Perception-to-Intent-to-Action Dynamic."

Multi-Agency/Multi-Disciplinary White Papers in Support of Counter-Terrorism and Counter-WMD 2009


How can Donald Trump reassure nervous U.S. allies? By giving them weapons (with Alexander Lanoszka and Zack Cooper)

Washington Post 2017

Trump is trying to send North Korea a message. He has a long way to go (with Danielle Lupton and Roseanne McManus)

Washington Post 2017